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Research - Papers

Explore a selection of our published work on a variety of key research challenges in AI.

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FloeNet: A mass-conserving global sea ice emulator that generalizes across climates

William GregoryM. BushukJames P. C. DuncanL. Zanna
2026
arXiv

We introduce FloeNet, a machine-learning emulator trained on the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory global sea ice model, SIS2. FloeNet is a mass-conserving model, emulating 6-hour mass and area… 

Examining Fast Radiative Feedbacks Using Machine-Learning Weather Emulators

Ankur MaheshWilliam D. CollinsTravis A. O'BrienDa Yang
2026
arXiv

The response of the climate system to increased greenhouse gases and other radiative perturbations is governed by a combination of fast and slow feedbacks. Slow feedbacks are typically activated in… 

HiRO-ACE: Fast and skillful AI emulation and downscaling trained on a 3 km global storm-resolving model

Andre PerkinsAnna KwaJeremy McGibbonLucas Harris
2025
arXiv

Kilometer-scale simulations of the atmosphere are an important tool for assessing local weather extremes and climate impacts, but computational expense limits their use to small regions, short… 

SamudrACE: Fast and Accurate Coupled Climate Modeling with 3D Ocean and Atmosphere Emulators

James P. C. DuncanElynn WuSurya DheeshjithChristopher S. Bretherton
2025
arXiv

Traditional numerical global climate models simulate the full Earth system by exchanging boundary conditions between separate simulators of the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, land surface, and other… 

What Sets the Tropical Cold Point in GSRMs During Boreal Winter? Overshooting Convection Versus Cirrus Lofting

Jacqueline M. NugentChristopher S. BrethertonP. Blossey
2025
Earth and Space Science

The cold point tropopause, the minimum temperature within the tropical upper troposphere‐lower stratosphere region (UTLS), significantly impacts Earth's climate by influencing the amount of water… 

ACE2: accurately learning subseasonal to decadal atmospheric variability and forced responses

Oliver Watt‐MeyerBrian HennJeremy McGibbonChristopher S. Bretherton
2025
NPJ Climate and Atmospheric Science

Existing machine learning models of weather variability are not formulated to enable assessment of their response to varying external boundary conditions such as sea surface temperature and… 

Applying the ACE2 Emulator to SST Green's Functions for the E3SMv3 Global Atmosphere Model

Elynn WuF. RebassooPappu PaulChristopher S. Bretherton
2025
Journal of Geophysical Research - Machine Learning

Green's functions are a useful technique for interpreting atmospheric state responses to changes in the spatial pattern of sea surface temperature (SST). Here we train version 2 of the Ai2 Climate… 

Skilful global seasonal predictions from a machine learning weather model trained on reanalysis data

Chris KentAdam A. ScaifeN. DunstoneOliver Watt-Meyer
2025
npj Climate and Atmospheric Science

Machine learning weather models trained on observed atmospheric conditions can outperform conventional physics-based models at short- to medium-range (1-14 day) forecast timescales. Here we take the… 

Applying Corrective Machine Learning in the E3SM Atmosphere Model in C++ (EAMxx)

Aaron S. DonahueElynn WuW. PerkinsJ. Golaz
2025
EGUsphere

. The Simplified Cloud-Resolving E3SM Atmosphere Model (SCREAM) is the newest addition to the family of earth system models capable of explicitly resolving convective systems. SCREAM is a… 

ACE2-SOM: Coupling an ML atmospheric emulator to a slab ocean and learning the sensitivity of climate to changed CO$_2$

Spencer ClarkOliver Watt‐MeyerAnna KwaLucas M. Harris
2024
Journal of Geophysical Research - Machine Learning

Although autoregressive machine learning‐based emulators have been trained to produce stable and accurate rollouts in the climate of the present‐day and recent past, none so far have been trained to… 

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